Sunday, February 10, 2013

David Cameron - Saviour of the EU ?

Last Friday, the UK Prime Minister pulled off a spectacular victory in Brussels, a 'smasheroo', a Messi/Gareth Bale flash of brilliance. Not only was the EU's next seven years spending budget (2014-2020)reduced for the first time ever (as he's been negotiating over the last two years) but he achieved this by creating alliances with other EU members, notably Germany's Angela Merkel. This was not supposed to be possible. After the way the then rather rude French President tried to humiliate David Cameron last year, it does give an added tittle of pleasure to see the current French President being outmanoeuvred.

This is of course 'old news' - the agreement having been reached almost three days ago. But I feel the need to make something of it - because the media have virtually ignored it. Its treated on the same scale of importance as if Burkino Faso win the African Nations Football Tournament! From a UK perspective the EU budget deal is a very significant event - historic even. Beats me why David Cameron has not been lauded from every rooftop - except those that belong to the anti-British of course. Their churlishness is understandable. I suspect its partly because of the redefinition of marriage issue. Those who would have been praising the Prime Minister loudest are still feeling bitter about the way they were so dismissively treated last week.

Lets consider what the PM achieved. For years its been assumed that the UK/EU relationship is a one-way street, ever closer union, ever rising spending power. Whatever the EU Commission agreed should come to pass -  after a bit of fuss perhaps - has always come to pass. Until last year's UK veto. Suddenly the reality is apparent to other member states. It doesn't have to be that way. Scales have fallen from their eyes. The necessity to consider major change to cope with Eurozone failure, the comparative fall in international competitiveness, the dangers of public disorder arising from a democratic deficit. These issues are now being discussed around polite Brussels tables - and its all down to David Cameron. Even Ukip's Nigel Farage was forced to admit that DC had done well, until he quickly switched back into 'Eastleigh' mode. The last 7 years budget was a Euro or two short of a thousand billion Euro. The next 7 years budget is around 50 billion Euro less. That's money that would have left a big hole in taxpayer's wallets.

Its a different story in Wales of course, where we have a Labour one-party state. Inevitably, the First Minister was first on the airwaves with his pre-prepared criticisms. Inevitably, if the EU budget is reduced, there is less money for the EU to redistribute in various forms of subsidy - so less EU subsidy for the Welsh Government to distribute. The fact that its recycled British taxpayer's money is simply ignored. For the last 14 years mega-millions of regional development money has been pouring into Wales as subsidy. Ironically, the performance of the Welsh economy has gone backwards during the same period. But spending other people's money is part of Labour's DNA - so less taxpayer's money to the EU has to be bad. And the logic of this position is that the bigger the EU budget, the better. Even Labour in Westminster can see that policy is economic lunacy. But that doesn't stop the First Minister repeating the mantra over and over - usually unchallenged.

So let's hear it for David Cameron. He's achieved something that no other British PM has achieved before. And I say to all those Europhiles who don't like it, he may just have helped save the EU from itself. I think the mood is changing and there's a genuine chance of a significant repatriation of policy to the UK. My money is on a Yes vote for 2017, which is perhaps another reason why the voices of congratulation are more muted than they should have been.

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

If he uses the money saved on Wales then I shall congratulate him.

Me thinks that that won't happen. Once again it'll go to SE England

Glyn Davies said...

Anon - I think the concept of "spending the money he saves" on anything is a bit odd, bearing in mind that the UK's annual deficit is currently runnning at over £100 billion!!

Anonymous said...

"I suspect its partly because of the redefinition of marriage issue. Those who would have been praising the Prime Minister loudest are still feeling bitter about the way they were so dismissively treated last week."

Isn't it about time that the Tory MPs gave this issue a rest. There was a "FREE" vote on this, the MPs made their OWN decision up and voted. Cameron did not dismiss anyone, the no vote lots. Show a little bit of respect for parliament. There was a massive majority for equal civil marriage, can the Tory party now accept this and move on, please!!!!.

WitteringsfromWitney said...

" I think the mood is changing and there's a genuine chance of a significant repatriation of policy to the UK."

And how, pray, is this repatriation of powers to be accomplished? Where in the Lisbon Treaty is the article that permits this? What is it about the Acquis that you appear not to understand?

Relations with the EU are for trade purposes, so why do we have to accept political rule too? What is wrong with membership of EFTA/EEA as a parking place while we negotiate a separate trade agreement - possibly following the Swiss route?

I fail to understand why anyone who should believe in sovereignty is content to cede that to anyone else - least of all without consulting the people of this country - or is this country the fiefdom of 650 only?

As for the equal marriage bill - this was purely as a result of a promise made by the UK when chair of the CoE during 2010 - it was not in any manifesto so as a result the people of this land were never consulted. That is your party's version of democracy?

And we should "All Hail" Cameron? For what - acting like a dictator? Because that is what representative democracy has become, a form of democratised dictatorship.

You talk about alliances being built in Brussels at the last budget meeting. First the deal is not agreed as the EU Parliament have the final voice on this deal and it looks very much as though they are going to kick it into touch (seeing as you're using football metaphors). Also it would be interesting to know (and forgive the pun) exactly what horse-trading took place to build that alliance of which you make so much of.

Cynic that I am, unfortunately I can only assume your devotion to the Cameron cause is but insurance on your part that deselection does not land on your doorstep.

Anonymous said...

Glyn Davies sounds more and more "British" and more and more right-wing as the months go by, it seems. Sad for those people in Wales that thought he was a different kind of Tory. But regardless of ideology the Tory hype around the EU is completely misplaced.

'The last 7 years budget was a Euro or two short of a thousand billion Euro. The next 7 years budget is around 50 billion Euro less. That's money that would have left a big hole in taxpayer's wallets.'

It wouldn't have left a big hole at all. It's a budget covering 27 states. It's loose change, and a bit of symbolism for Cameron to suggest to his own party that he is 'Eurosceptic'.

Anonymous said...

"For the last 14 years mega-millions of regional development money has been pouring into Wales as subsidy."

No it hasn't, Glyn. What a crude thing to say. Wales has in fact been receving an annual budget based on a Barnett share of devolved expenditures in England. Using an inferior calculation to what the English regions get (as agreed by your former Welsh leader and colleague Nick Bourne). It's nothing to do with 'subsidy'.

Glyn Davies said...

anon 6.20 - I was not referring to Barnett consequentials, which as you correctly point out is not susidy. But EU regional development money is subsidy given to the poorest regions in Europe - poverty based on GDP/GVA and which has been falling since West Wales and the Valleys were granted Objecctive One status in 2000.

Anonymous said...

Sorry Glyn, I stand corrected. The EU funds are on top of the block grant as you say.

With that said I think we need a bit of clarity on the structural funds, from both those that hype them up and those that play them down. We're talking about £140m per year.

Anonymous said...

Your answer, and that of your party and its PM, Glyn, is that Wales gets less money, regardless of how it's spent.

You seem to think that's a good idea. The Tories, with a lot of help from Labour, have run Wales into penury.

Glyn Davies said...

Anons - there is no reason to know that Wales will be worse off. My own view is that funding to support regional development could either wholly and in part be repatriated, and allocated within the UK to the most needy areas. It seems to me costly and pointless for the UK Gov't to transfer billions to the EU so that part of it can be spent in the UK as the EU sees fit, rather than as MPs see fit. It can be interpreted as a Eurosceptic arguememnt, but not as an anti-Wales argument. Wales could easily be better off with a reduced EU budget.