The dominating issue in the National Assembly today has been tomorrow's vote on the Government's Final Budget. At the moment, it looks as if the Government is going to lose the vote. If this were to happen, Rhodri Morgan should resign immediately and the AMs who voted down his budget should be prepared to put together some sort of 'caretaker arrangement' to take us through to the Assembly election. But it seems that Rhodri has made it clear that he is going to sit tight. But who knows? Carwyn Jones and Andrew Davies must be on tenterhooks - preparing themselves for a leadership election which would surely follow a resignation. The depressing aspect of all this is that our Assembly is left looking like a Mickey Mouse Parliament. If a Government loses its budget, it should resign, full stop.
But is Ieuan Wyn Jones going to save Rhodri's skin? Poor old Ieuan has gone all sensitive on us - always a mistake in politics. I'm told that since I referred to him last week as 'Wobbly' Wyn Jones and as the Hokey Kokey King of Welsh Politics, he's become so upset that he is no longer willing to work with the Tories at all. He's ditched the Lib-Dems as well. This is a bit of a gamble. All this afternoon he has been trying to rescue the position by working on the Labour Government to give him a bit of extra money so that he can claim that he has acheived some great victory- which would enable him to let the budget through tomorrow. I have always had a soft spot for Plaid Cymru and things looked so bad for them in the Chamber today when Ieuan was forced to concede a 'free vote' on some issue (because his members would not back him) that I began to feel sorry for them.
So onwards to tomorrow's debate. Will Plaid do a deal and let Labour off the hook? Will Labour be defeated on its budget? Will Rhodri Morgan resign if he loses? Will we all look even more stupid by having to come back again next week for another go at it? It is all such a shambles at the moment that I do not think anyone knows the answer to any of these questions. Politics is an unpredictable business.